Drought and fires intensify in Brazil! Coffee bean production cycle forced to be delayed

According to local media reports, fires have continued across Brazil since the end of August, further exacerbating the problems plagued by drought in the Brazilian coffee industry. As coffee plantations in Sao Paulo were engulfed by fire and coffee plants were destroyed, producers will have to replant new coffee trees, delaying coffee harvested in 2025 to 2027 and reducing coffee production in the next two years.

It is understood that these coffee farms are generally close to national protected areas or sugarcane fields, but as the fire is concentrated in these areas, coffee farms are affected. At present, the damage caused by the fire has little impact on this year's harvest, but it has seriously affected the new production season of 2025.

According to Conab, the National Commodity supply Company under the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture, the first data on the impact of the fire on coffee plantations are expected to be released on the 19th of this month, all because many parts of Brazil are still affected by the fire, making it difficult to accurately estimate the area affected by the current coffee disaster. According to preliminary estimates, about 100 hectares of coffee plantations have been burned in several areas near the town of Franka (Franca) in S ã o Paulo alone.

According to the chairman of the Funda coffee ã o Pr ó-Caf é, as the fire has not been completely put out and destroyed the local soil, it will take some time to restore the soil if crops such as coffee are to be replanted, and new crops will not be replanted until January 2025 at the earliest, so coffee is not expected to be harvested until 2027.

In addition, due to the wide range and serious impact of the fire in Brazil, the smoke has also brought a lot of impact. it is reported that since the fire broke out at the end of August, the sky in most parts of Brazil has not seen a blue sky and has been covered with smoke. Air quality experts at the National Space Institute of Brazil said that due to the fierce fire, the smog covered nearly 5 million square kilometers, affecting at least 10 states, almost 60 per cent of Brazil's national territory.

And the fire continues, the local hot weather and the lack of cold air that can carry smoke, so that the smoke will not disappear in a short period of time. The smog has an equally serious impact on Brazil, with harmful substances in the smog having a serious impact on human health and poor visibility, affecting local airports and traffic. In addition, the smog aggravates Greenhouse Effect and has a negative impact on the growing environment of crops, so some coffee producing areas where there is no fire will be affected by the smog.

In addition, the problem of drought in Brazil remains serious. Earlier, Brazil's National Natural disaster Monitoring and early warning Center reported that Brazil is currently experiencing the worst and most extensive drought on record, covering the basic front line from the north to the southeast.

According to the records released, the Amazon rainforest has been suffering from drought since last year, with insufficient rainfall during the rainy season and another drought in June this year, and was warned by the Brazilian Geological Survey. The water level of the river in the Amazon basin is very likely to fall below historic lows. As the Amazon River is the most important river in Brazil, many coffee producing areas in Brazil have reported insufficient groundwater resources, resulting in poor coffee growing environment.

Moreover, the headland has seriously affected the export of Brazilian coffee and other agricultural products. Due to the decline in the water level of the Amazon river in the north, many agricultural products have been transferred to ports in southern Brazil, increasing pressure on the ports and aggravating port congestion in the south. As a result, the delay rate in several ports in southern Brazil has been maintained at 60-80%. Due to delays leading to a massive build-up of agricultural products and hot weather, about 1.2 million bags of coffee were reported in July, with a loss of about $300m.

At present, the temperature in Brazil remains hot, including Sao Paulo, Minas Gerais and other major coffee producing areas have issued a red warning of dry weather, affecting coffee production in the new season next year. In addition, the price of coffee will continue to rise as fires, air quality and port delays may lead to a decline in exports.

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