Conab expects Brazil's coffee production to increase in 2024, which will be good news for the coffee market.
Conab, the national commodity supply company under the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture, recently released a report showing that the Brazilian coffee harvest in 2024 is considered a big year of production, with an estimated 58.08 million bags of coffee, 5.5% higher than in 2023.
In its first survey this year, Conab pointed out that the harvest rates in 2021 and 2022 were low due to weather problems, which changed the growth trend of the production series. But in 2023, under favorable weather conditions, productivity began to recover. By 2024, the Arabica and Cornilon varieties used to fund coffee in Brazil (Brazilian Robusta coffee is sold under the name Cornilon Conillon) have a total area of 2.25 million hectares, an increase of 0.8 per cent over previous harvests.
Coffee farmers usually processed their crops more intensively in the previous negative biennium, according to the Conab bulletin. In the recent harvest, the stability of the Brazilian coffee area has been compensated for by productivity gains, and the coffee industry has observed productivity gains brought about by technological changes.
For Brazil's national average coffee productivity, the average per unit yield was 30.3 bags per hectare, an increase of 3 per cent over the previous year, and Arabica coffee production was 26.7 bags per hectare, an increase of 2 per cent compared with the 2023 harvest. The productivity of Conilon coffee is 44.3 bags per hectare. 6.2% higher than the previous harvest.
According to the output of the state, Minas Gerais is estimated to produce 29.18 million bags, an increase of 0.6% compared with the last harvest, and the planting conditions of major crops have improved. In Esp í rito Santo, the total growth is expected to be 15.4%, to 15.01 million bags. Cultivation in Esp í rito Santo includes Conilon coffee, which is estimated at 11.06 million bags, an increase of 9 per cent over the previous harvest, and the Arabica variety, which produces 3.95 million bags, 38.2 per cent higher than the previous harvest.
The Arabica variety in S ã o Paulo is expected to produce 5.4 million bags, an increase of 7.4 per cent over the previous year. While Bahia and Arabica will grow by 3.61 million bags, an increase of 6.4%. Landonia and Robusta varieties are expected to produce 3.19 million bags, an increase of 5.1 per cent over last year's harvest. Production is also rising in Rio de Janeiro, Mato Grosso and Goas. Only Arabica production in Parana is stable.
At present, the demand for coffee in the world coffee market is growing, and the price of coffee is high due to shipping problems. This production growth report hopes to bring good news to the market.
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