Analysis on the characteristics of Brazilian Coffee Price list of Brazilian slimming Coffee Market trend of Brazilian Coffee in 2018

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In-depth understanding of the grade of Brazilian coffee beans in Brazil, the largest coffee producer in the world.

Despite the continued unease in Brazil 2018-19, the market will wait a while to confirm the prospects for the next Brazilian coffee crop, as the stage of crop development is not enough to judge yield potential. With the recent increase in Rain Water, it is obvious that Rain Water is very popular at this time, which is conducive to the growth of crops as a whole, but some areas were so dry and stressed that even rainfall could not reach their maximum potential. The question is whether production in other areas is sufficient to offset and whether a bumper harvest is still possible. The market needs a bumper harvest in Brazil. A good harvest is generally not enough.

The result: it will take a while to seriously consider the next crop size. There is already evidence that some farmers may have lost about 10% of their crops. This does not take into account other areas, where production is not seriously affected and other areas are likely to suffer more damage. It is obvious that the crop yield is not uniform. Pictures of fruit trees show that caffeine bugs and coffee fruit diseases still occur. The drillworm eats the inside of the fruit, leaving a black hole. The disease of coffee fruit is manifested in the black fungi of tree nodes and spreads to the fruit. If not dealt with, it may continue to spread and become a serious threat to production. Because Brazilian stocks are so low, crops need to be made almost perfectly to get an adequate supply in the next season and provide some inventory buffers before 2019-2020, when production will fall again.

Crop prospects in Vietnam: heavy rainfall in coffee areas. It has been worried that there are too many Rain Water during the growing season. After two years of low Rain Water, the water level of the reservoir on which farmers rely for irrigation has fallen.

Results: due to sufficient water, the granules of coffee fruit are larger this year, which is helpful to the prospect of crops. Commissioner USDA forecast coffee production in Vietnam at 29.9 million tons, an increase of 1.3 million tons from the crop forecast in early June and an increase of 3.2 million tons over the same period last year, mainly due to improved rainfall this year. Due to the relatively low inventory at the beginning of the period, the overall allocation will be 600000 packets more than last year, but it was expected that exports would fall rather than rise this year. The rainfall during harvest also stimulates the untimely flowering of fruit trees, which may damage the prospects of 2018-19.

Colombia suffered a setback: last month reported October yields, the first month of new staple crops, significantly lower than last year. It is not certain whether this is an isolated case and production will rebound. Commissioner USDA estimates that the total output of the new agricultural year will be 1470 million bales, 100,000 bales higher than that of 2016-17.

Results: the Colombian Coffee Federation believes that coffee production was not only damaged in October, but also affected by torrential rains during critical periods of crop flowering in November and December, resulting in a decrease in yield. This is the most active harvest period, and according to current forecasts, losses could be as high as 600,000 bales. Columbia continues to restore coffee farms, hoping to continue to increase productivity, but now the goal of increasing production has been frustrated. Columbia had low yields for four years since the end of the last decade, mainly due to unstable weather, disease and aging fruit trees. Colombia has rebounded strongly and production is expected to eventually return to the record high of the 1990s, when more than 1700 million bales were harvested.

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